β˜… NO REAL MONEY β˜… INTEL: Aravolta - telemetry-based underwriting and risk management for GPU infrastructu β—† Will AI-generated bug reports cause a major open-source project to shu β€” YES 55.0% β—† Will itspricedin.lol itself get pwned within 90 days of launch? β€” YES 99.1% β—† INTEL: SOC 2 Compliance Guide β—† INTEL: Nightshade, the free tool that 'poisons' AI models, is now available for artists β—† INTEL: Joshua Saxe - How to Defend an Exploding AI Attack Surface When the Attackers Ha β—† Will $POC ever be worth anything? β€” NO 99.9% β—† Will a jailbreak prompt sell as an NFT for more than 1 ETH before 2027 β€” NO 95.0% β—† Will an AI browser agent be shown exfiltrating user data via prompt in β€” YES 70.0% β—† INTEL: Startups launch products to catch people using AI cheating app Cluely β—† Will an executive literally say 'it's priced in' about a breach on an β€” NO 85.0% β—† Will a prompt injection attack be publicly blamed for a data breach at β€” YES 62.0% β—† INTEL: Your Compiler is Backdooring Your Model: Understanding and Exploiting Compilatio β—† Will a CVSS 9.0+ RCE be disclosed in a major AI coding agent before 20 β€” YES 80.5% β—† Will a major password manager disclose a CVSS 9.0+ vulnerability befor β€” NO 60.0% β—† INTEL: Supporting more identity providers on Ubuntu with the new Authd OIDC broker β—† Will a leaked system prompt lead to a public apology from a major AI l β€” NO 70.0% β—† Will a global Cloudflare, AWS, or Azure outage lasting over 3 hours be β€” YES 55.0% β—† INTEL: Servant, Stalker, Predator: How An Honest, Helpful, And Harmless (3H) Agent Unlo β—† Which AI lab discloses the next headline security incident? β€” OpenAI 46.2% β—† β˜… $POC HAS NO VALUE β˜… β—†
πŸ“ˆ Markets
QuestionCatOutcomesVolClosesStatus
πŸ”₯ Will itspricedin.lol itself get pwned within 90 days of launch? meta YES 99.1% NO 0.9% 1,089 Dec 01, 2026 🟒 open
πŸ”₯ Which AI lab discloses the next headline security incident? ai OpenAI 46.2% Anthropic 8.1% Google 10.1% Meta 8.7% xAI 10.1% Somebody's wrapper startup 16.8% 99 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
πŸ”₯ Will a CVSS 9.0+ RCE be disclosed in a major AI coding agent before 2027? ai YES 80.5% NO 19.5% 99 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
πŸ”₯ Will a prompt injection attack be publicly blamed for a data breach at a Fortune 500 company before 2027? ai YES 62.0% NO 38.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will a leaked system prompt lead to a public apology from a major AI lab before 2027? ai YES 30.0% NO 70.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will a major password manager disclose a CVSS 9.0+ vulnerability before 2027? web YES 40.0% NO 60.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will $POC ever be worth anything? meta YES 0.1% NO 99.9% 0 Dec 31, 2030 🟒 open
Will a jailbreak prompt sell as an NFT for more than 1 ETH before 2027? ai YES 5.0% NO 95.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will a global Cloudflare, AWS, or Azure outage lasting over 3 hours be caused by a config change before 2027? cloud YES 55.0% NO 45.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will an AI browser agent be shown exfiltrating user data via prompt injection on stage at Black Hat or DEF CON 2027? ai YES 70.0% NO 30.0% 0 Aug 15, 2027 🟒 open
Will an executive literally say 'it's priced in' about a breach on an earnings call before 2027? general YES 15.0% NO 85.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will AI-generated bug reports cause a major open-source project to shut down its bug bounty before 2027? ai YES 55.0% NO 45.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will a new CPU side-channel attack with a cute name AND a logo be announced before 2027? hardware YES 80.0% NO 20.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will a US federal agency publicly ban an AI coding assistant on its devices before 2027? policy YES 30.0% NO 70.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will an EU regulator announce an enforcement action under the AI Act's GPAI obligations before 2027? policy YES 25.0% NO 75.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will a DeFi protocol lose more than $100M in a single exploit before 2027? crypto YES 60.0% NO 40.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will CISA's KEV catalog add 250 or more entries in calendar year 2026? web YES 50.0% NO 50.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will a malicious model on Hugging Face pass 100k downloads before being pulled, before 2027? supply-chain YES 35.0% NO 65.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will npm suffer another self-propagating worm-style supply chain attack before 2027? supply-chain YES 66.0% NO 34.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will an AI agent be publicly credited with autonomously finding AND exploiting a 0-day in production software before 2027? ai YES 45.0% NO 55.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open
Will an official first-party MCP server ship a High or Critical CVE before 2027? ai YES 58.0% NO 42.0% 0 Dec 31, 2026 🟒 open

21 markets Β· details view Β· prices are probabilities, volume is $POC, and none of it is real.

This message was generated by an LLM and is therefore load-bearing.
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