โ˜… NO REAL MONEY โ˜… Will an AI browser agent be shown exfiltrating user data via prompt in โ€” YES 70.0% โ—† Will a CVSS 9.0+ RCE be disclosed in a major AI coding agent before 20 โ€” YES 80.5% โ—† INTEL: We have Mythos at Home: GLM 5.2 beats Claude in our Cyber Benchmarks - Semgrep โ—† Will a major password manager disclose a CVSS 9.0+ vulnerability befor โ€” NO 60.0% โ—† Will a prompt injection attack be publicly blamed for a data breach at โ€” YES 62.0% โ—† Will itspricedin.lol itself get pwned within 90 days of launch? โ€” YES 99.1% โ—† INTEL: son-of-claude - Claude Code tool that answers your Teams messages โ—† INTEL: Illusive is Now Proofpoint Identity Threat Defense โ—† Will a leaked system prompt lead to a public apology from a major AI l โ€” NO 70.0% โ—† INTEL: Stryker Cyber Incident - Rapid Intel Brief on wiper-style incident lessons โ—† Which AI lab discloses the next headline security incident? โ€” OpenAI 46.2% โ—† INTEL: GitHub Repos Used for Distributing Malware โ—† Will an executive literally say 'it's priced in' about a breach on an โ€” NO 85.0% โ—† Will $POC ever be worth anything? โ€” NO 99.9% โ—† Will a global Cloudflare, AWS, or Azure outage lasting over 3 hours be โ€” YES 55.0% โ—† INTEL: The wall confronting large language models โ—† INTEL: Identity Providers for RedTeamers โ—† Will a jailbreak prompt sell as an NFT for more than 1 ETH before 2027 โ€” NO 95.0% โ—† Will AI-generated bug reports cause a major open-source project to shu โ€” YES 55.0% โ—† INTEL: ThreatModeler Acquires IriusRisk to Build Security for the AI Coding Era โ—† โ˜… $POC HAS NO VALUE โ˜… โ—†
๐ŸŽฏ Will a malicious model on Hugging Face pass 100k downloads before being pulled, before 2027?
supply-chain OPEN closes 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC ยท listed by house ยท volume 0 $POC ยท 0 trades ยท liquidity b=250
YES
35.0%
NO
65.0%
Rules: Needs a public report (HF, a security vendor, or a researcher) stating the download count at takedown. Pickle payloads, backdoored weights, and 'safetensors that are not' all qualify.

Max loss for the house on this market: 173 $POC (LMSR, bยทln n). The house is not real either.

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Live. Updates every 10 seconds while you are looking. Fills of 500+ $POC are whales and get announced. Still not real money.

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Remember: every breach is priced in. Except the ones that aren't.
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