★ NO REAL MONEY ★ INTEL: Continuously hardening ChatGPT Atlas against prompt injection attacks ◆ Will itspricedin.lol itself get pwned within 90 days of launch? — YES 99.1% ◆ Will a CVSS 9.0+ RCE be disclosed in a major AI coding agent before 20 — YES 80.5% ◆ Will a leaked system prompt lead to a public apology from a major AI l — NO 70.0% ◆ Will an executive literally say 'it's priced in' about a breach on an — NO 85.0% ◆ INTEL: A Framework for Rapidly Developing and Deploying Protection Against Large Langua ◆ INTEL: Death by a thousand slops ◆ INTEL: San Francisco Secure Software and AppSec Summit 2026 - The Next AppSec Operating ◆ Will a prompt injection attack be publicly blamed for a data breach at — YES 62.0% ◆ Which AI lab discloses the next headline security incident? — OpenAI 46.2% ◆ INTEL: Andrej Karpathy's notes from Claude coding: agent workflows, fallibility, levera ◆ Will a major password manager disclose a CVSS 9.0+ vulnerability befor — NO 60.0% ◆ INTEL: vmux - stateful sandboxes for agents ◆ Will $POC ever be worth anything? — NO 99.9% ◆ Will an AI browser agent be shown exfiltrating user data via prompt in — YES 70.0% ◆ INTEL: Attacking browser extensions - GitHub Security Lab ◆ Will AI-generated bug reports cause a major open-source project to shu — YES 55.0% ◆ Will a jailbreak prompt sell as an NFT for more than 1 ETH before 2027 — NO 95.0% ◆ Will a global Cloudflare, AWS, or Azure outage lasting over 3 hours be — YES 55.0% ◆ INTEL: Burke Holland on enabling VS Code Copilot codebase semantic search ◆ ★ $POC HAS NO VALUE ★ ◆
🎯 Will a prompt injection attack be publicly blamed for a data breach at a Fortune 500 company before 2027?
ai OPEN closes 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC · listed by house · volume 0 $POC · 0 trades · liquidity b=250
YES
62.0%
NO
38.0%
Rules: Resolves YES if a Fortune 500 company, a regulator, or a credible incident report names prompt injection (direct or indirect) as a root cause of a confirmed data breach. 'We are investigating' does not count. Screenshots of a chatbot saying something rude do not count.

Max loss for the house on this market: 173 $POC (LMSR, b·ln n). The house is not real either.

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Remember: every breach is priced in. Except the ones that aren't.
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